Uhuru Vs Ruto, Friends to Foes
I still don’t believe that the DP and the president are engaged in a dick measuring political contest. It seems juvenile and petty. Again their supporters are watching and think that their man is being embarrassed and humiliated at their expense.
The problem with this situation is that while the president may chest thump in private, he can only do so at the expense of alienating a whole region of supporters. These supporters most of the time do not protest their humiliation by means of a ‘public protest’ but by hurting other people savagely.
Again if their strategy is to provoke such conclusions so as to remove the Dp from the picture altogether, it must be highly tactical that the Dp hasn’t been reacted in any noticeable way in this exchange of hostilities.
Since it's assumed that he may react as expected, this will not be his way of reaction. Considering that we have a new currency because of this war, the DP has managed to outfox the state and has outwitted them in very simple elections. Seems like the security chiefs and NIShonchos got permission to do most on this front, do away with him, or find a way to bring him to heel.
The first thing that comes to mind is that the DP’s money seems to be out of reach to state players, seeing as the reason to change our currency was to keep him under a tight leash. He managed to evade this and the state caught some of their own people in the aftermath.
Doing meetings in other countries just complicates spying for the NIS and that’s why they have to get him here and keep him here all the way to the elections. This is in essence so that he can do nothing to jeopardize term extensions.
Most of the state's resources currently are being used heavily to spy on Dr. Ruto while the privileges he might enjoy are accorded to Raila Odinga in a reversal of roles.
While the situation the DP faces makes people sympathetic, it will not be enough for him to manage to wrestle the presidency from Uhuru and Jakom. He needs to employ different strategies against the state, which he will soon, not in form of demonstrations(it's not his way), but there are several ways he will achieve this distinction.
First, he needs to get his communications spy proof which he has managed, his meeting in Uganda may have been either a financial one or a strategy one but it has something big to it.
They may find a way to hold such a meeting under the noses of the NIS but it's yet to be seen how they will do it. One thing that’s yet to be seen is Uhuru or Raila going to central, or both going to rift valley where no one has the controls of the crowds that much.
One thing to be predicted is that there will be some sort of reaction, either by the government as a pretext to arrest some of his allies or by Ruto to divert attention from himself to a different place.
Either way an event to put security operatives' attentions divided in some way.
I've always thought it's Raila being played and I still hope it is. He is the most docile of the power structures around. In some format If DP Ruto manages to reach out to Raila and form a different alliance then it will inject more political life into Railas clout. The timing has to be perfect though.